NRL Fantasy 2018
Greg Inglis, WFB, $503,000
An injury-ruined 2017 means former Fantasy gun Greg Inglis starts this season at a reasonable discount. At his best, Inglis is a game-breaker capable of huge attacking numbers based around breaks and busts; whether he can recapture that form is another question.
Scoring potential: 4/5
The 2014 version of Inglis (13 tries, 16 try assists, 104 busts, 48 average) at the 2018 price would be a no-brainer but coming back from an ACL after a couple of quiet-ish seasons before that puts a huge question mark over what Inglis's current scoring potential actually is. It's unlikely he can average 48 again but scores in the low-to-mid 40s should be achievable if he stays fit.
Reliability: 2/5
Prior to last year's ACL injury Inglis had actually played five straight seasons of 20+ games per season so he's not as injury prone as some may think. Still, returning from a year-long layoff is no easy fit at this stage in his career, and it's not the only potential barrier between Inglis and consistent Fantasy scores. He also spent 2016 getting shuffled between fullback, five-eighth and centre. New coach Anthony Seibold has indicated Inglis is the club's first-choice fullback but if a half is injured or the team is struggling after six or eight weeks it's not impossible that he could get moved to a position where his Fantasy scoring may suffer.
Value: 4/5
Inglis starts 2018 priced at just a 34 average after missing all bar 40 minutes of 2017. He averaged 44 the previous two years and 48 in the Rabbitohs' 2014 premiership win. His attacking numbers featured a drop in try assists in 2016 compared to 2015 (13 down to seven) along with line-break assists (17 to 10), despite maintaining a steady 44 average both seasons. What all that means is if he can rediscover his attacking mojo there is plenty of theoretical upside to big 'GI' but even if he can't he should easily improve on his starting price.