Why bounce-back factor points to Roosters, Storm, Eels victories

History suggests the stars are aligning for three clubs to turn around recent results against their opposition and advance in the 2019 Telstra Premiership finals series.

NRL.com crunched the numbers from the past decade to find out how many clubs have turned around a loss in the last month of the regular season to then beat their opponent in week one of the finals. 

Since Parramatta's famous run in 2009, where they upset minor premiers St George Illawarra just a week after copping a 35-0 hammering in the final round, a further four teams in five games have achieved a similar feat.

The Rabbitohs beat defending premiers Sydney Roosters last week but based off past numbers the Tricolours are set to turn around the result.

A victory would put the side within reach of a second consecutive grand final, while a Bunnies victory would be considered a rare feat with only the Dragons defeating the Sea Eagles twice within a month including in week one of the finals in 2010.

"When you're doing your research you always look at the last game so it helps that you've only just played them," Rabbitohs forward Cameron Murray told NRL.com ahead of this week's instant rematch with the Roosters.

"Finals is a different beast, everything is more intense and players push harder. They've got some key players this week. No team is going to change things too drastically. 

"We'll stick to what worked last week and add a few more things to our game. We expect a lot more from the Roosters as well, especially with Luke Keary back."

Melbourne and Canberra met in round 22 at AAMI Park with the Raiders securing a 22-18 result.

The Storm came back in the opening week of the 2009 finals to beat a side after tasting defeat just weeks earlier. They suffered a 20-16 loss to Manly in round 24 during that season but bounced back to beat their arch-rivals 40-12 three weeks later.

Parramatta will host the Broncos at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday after Anthony Seibold's men got the result in round 24 at Suncorp Stadium.

While the game went into golden point, based off this metric the blue and gold will go into the contest favoured to bounce back.

In other results, Penrith eliminated Manly 22-10 in week one of the 2017 finals series after losing to the Sea Eagles at Brookvale Oval 28-12 just seven days earlier.

The Panthers did the same to the Warriors in 2018 when they were walloped 36-16 at Mt Smart Stadium but bounced back to win 27-12 at ANZ Stadium three weeks later.

Cronulla did a similar thing against the Cowboys in 2013, albeit when a controversial seven-tackle set took much of the limelight off the result.